Blog Index
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My research focuses on the interactions between major powers and their protégé states, and the foreign policy implications of these interactions, specifically as they pertain to major power competition, conflict processes among protégé states, and state development. I am also interested in quantitative methods, especially strategies for estimating nonrandom missing data and time-varying parameters.

NSF Grant Project

Modeling Sample Selection for Multi-Level Data Structures (NSF Award #1729244/1728395), with Olga Chyzh and Doug Gibler.


Thies, Cameron G. and Mark David Nieman. 2017. Rising Powers and Foreign Policy Revisionism: Understanding BRICS Identity and Behavior Through Time. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.


Nieman, Mark David and Cameron G. Thies. 2019. Property Rights Regimes, Technological Innovation, and Foreign Direct Investment Political Science and Research Methods. 7(3): 451-469Replication

McManus, Roseanne W. and Mark David Nieman. 2019. Identifying the Level of Major Power Support Signaled for Proteges: A Latent Measure Approach Journal of Peace Research. 56(3: 364-378 

 Dataset: Latent Measure Data CSV Latent Measure Data DTA Latent Measure Read Me

Nieman, Mark David. 2018. Strategic Binary Choice Models with Partial Observability. Statistical Sinica. 28(4): 2089-2105. Replication

Nieman, Mark David. 2016. The Return on Social Bonds: Social Contracts and International Conflict. Journal of Peace Research 53(5): 665-679. Online Appendix Replication

Nieman, Mark David. 2016. Moments In Time: Moments in Time: Temporal Patterns in the Effect of Democracy and Trade on Conflict ModelConflict Management and Peace Science 33(3): 273-293. Online Appendix

Thies, Cameron G., Olga Chyzh and Mark David Nieman. 2016. The Spatial Dimensions of Fiscal Capacity: The Mechanisms of International Influence on Domestic Extractive Efforts. Political Science Research and Methods. 4(1): 5-26. Replication

Nieman, Mark David. 2015. Statistical Analysis of Strategic Interaction with Unobservable Player Actions: Introducing a Strategic Probit with Partial ObservabilityPolitical Analysis 23(3): 429-448. Watch International Methods Colloquium Webinar Replication

Nieman, Mark David and Jonathan J. Ring. 2015. The Construction of Human Rights: Accounting for Systematic Bias in Common Human Rights MeasuresEuropean Political Science 14(4): 473-495. Replication

Nieman, Mark David. 2011. Shocks and Turbulence: Globalization and the Occurrence of Civil War. International Interactions 37(3): 263-292. Replication

Under Review

An International Game of Risk: Troop Placement and Major Power Competition (with Carla Martinez Machain, Olga Chyzh, and Sam Bell)

The Effects of Dog-Whistle Politics on Political Violence (with Olga Chyzh and Clayton Webb)

Peaceful Neighborhoods and Democratic Differences (with Douglas M. Gibler)

Leaving the Party: Power Asymmetries and Membership Discontinuity within International Organizations (with Youngwan Kim)

A Watershed Moment: Climate Change and Election Outcomes

Working Papers

Modeling Structural Selection for Disaggregated Events Data (with Olga Chyzh and Douglas M. Gibler)

Explaining Variation in Protester Commitment: Survey Evidence from Ukraine's EuroMaidan, 2013-2014 (with Olga Chyzh).

Putting Together the FDI Puzzle: An Endogenous Model of Foreign Direct Investment, Democracy, Economic Development, and Human Capital