Blog Index
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My research focuses on the influence of informal, social relationships on state conflict and economic behavior. I am also interested in state development, civil conflict, and quantitative methods, especially strategies for estimating nonrandom missing data and time-varying parameters.

Grant Project

Modeling Sample Selection for Multi-Level Data Structures (NSF Award #1729244/1728395), with Olga Chyzh and Doug Gibler.


Thies, Cameron G. and Mark David Nieman. 2017. Rising Powers and Foreign Policy Revisionism: Understanding BRICS Identity and Behavior Through Time. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.


Nieman, Mark David. Property Rights Regimes, Technological Innovation, and Foreign Direct Investment (with Cameron G. Thies) Political Science and Research Methods. Replication

Nieman, Mark David. Forthcoming. Strategic Binary Choice Models with Partial Observability. Statistical Sinica. doi:10.5705/ss.202016.0294. Article Replication

Nieman, Mark David. 2016. The Return on Social Bonds: Social Contracts and International Conflict. Journal of Peace Research 53(5): 665-679. Online Appendix Replication

Nieman, Mark David. 2016. Moments In Time: Moments in Time: Temporal Patterns in the Effect of Democracy and Trade on Conflict ModelConflict Management and Peace Science 33(3): 273-293. Online Appendix

Thies, Cameron G., Olga Chyzh and Mark David Nieman. 2016. The Spatial Dimensions of Fiscal Capacity: The Mechanisms of International Influence on Domestic Extractive Efforts. Political Science Research and Methods. 4(1): 5-26. Replication

Nieman, Mark David. 2015. Statistical Analysis of Strategic Interaction with Unobservable Player Actions: Introducing a Strategic Probit with Partial ObservabilityPolitical Analysis 23(3): 429-448. Watch International Methods Colloquium Webinar Replication

Nieman, Mark David and Jonathan J. Ring. 2015. The Construction of Human Rights: Accounting for Systematic Bias in Common Human Rights MeasuresEuropean Political Science 14(4): 473-495. Replication

Nieman, Mark David. 2011. Shocks and Turbulence: Globalization and the Occurrence of Civil War. International Interactions 37(3): 263-292. Replication

Under Review

An International Game of Risk: Troop Placement and Major Power Competition (with Carla Martinez Machain, Olga Chyzh, and Sam Bell)

Identifying the Level of Major Power Support Signaled for Proteges: A Latent Measure Approach (with Roseanne McManus)

State-controlled Media and Foreign Policy: Analyzing Russian-language News (with Elena Labzina)

Cooperation in Good Times: Are Democracies Really Different (with Douglas M. Gibler)

Structural Selection for Micro-Level Events Data (with Olga Chyzh and Douglas M. Gibler)

Leaving the Party: Power Asymmetries and Membership Discontinuity within International Organizations (with Youngwan Kim)

Do Shared IO Memberships Increase the Amount of Foreign Aid? (with Youngwan Kim)

Working Papers

Explaining Variation in Protester Commitment: Survey Evidence from Ukraine's EuroMaidan, 2013-2014 (with Olga Chyzh). Download

Putting Together the FDI Puzzle: An Endogenous Model of Foreign Direct Investment, Democracy, Economic Development, and Human Capital